A Just Coal Transition in Indonesia: Actors, framings and future directions
What are the challenges around coal phase-down and just transition in Indonesia?
On March 20, 2024, three specialists convened at a virtual Expert Exchange entitled Financing the Early Retirement of Coal-fired Power Plants to present initiatives, financial instruments, and information-providing tools for accelerating the phase-out of coal-fired power plants (CFPPs). Many CFPPs must be shut down before the end of their technical lifespan if the climate targets under the Paris Agreement are to be met.
Many countries have made net-zero commitments in their nationally determined contributions or pledged to decouple energy production from carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Phasing out coal is an essential step towards achieving these targets, and many countries have initiated this process or will be starting it in the coming years. Given that many CFPPs, particularly in the Global South, have opened in the last 10–20 years, many must now be shut down before their normal operational lifespan of about 40 years, thus rendering their owners unable to fully amortise the costs of building them.
In most countries it is profitable to replace operating CFPPs with renewable energy sources even before the power plants have reached the end of their life. However, barriers to this transition include market inflexibilities, such as long-term contracts, and the right of CFPP owners to compensation if their plants close early. Additionally, the costs of converting to renewable energies are highly dependent on the cost of financing, since running costs are marginal and the initial investment constitutes almost the entire total expenditure. Many countries in the Global South, however, lack access to capital with favourable conditions, and they are confronted with high interest rates that make replacing CFPPs with renewable energies uneconomical.
Climate financial mechanisms (CTMs) are a group of technical and financial instruments that have been developed to support the transition from coal to renewable energies. They pass on the favourable rates of multilateral development banks (MDBs) to countries and companies that must normally bear higher interest rates, and they utilise resources from development finance institutions (DFIs), national governments, international funds (such as the Climate Investment Funds), and private finance institutions working alongside MDBs to use models of blended finance for coal phase-out.
Moreover, new open source-based tools can deliver information on the cost structures of the power sector and, therefore, allow better decisions on investment in early retirement. Such new initiatives and offers by countries, multinational institutions, think tanks, and NGOs will bring more dynamism into the process. Innovative financial instruments can be used further to finance a socially just transformation of the energy system.
Julia Skorupska, Powering Past Coal Alliance
Isabella Suarez, TransitionZero
Oliver J. Herrmann, Climate & Company
Götz von Stumpfeldt, GIZ (introduction and moderation)
Read more from our Expert Exchange series: Skilling, Upskilling and Reskilling for a Just Transition in Coal Regions
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